The Gould Standard Picks: Week 4

Fresh off a nifty 5-1 week of picking, I should be feeling smug. And I did feel smug, for 24 hours. But now, it’s a new week, and it’s filled with new peril.

Gould0089 headshot

The only thing I’m sure of is that when Notre Dame travels to Michigan State, the game won’t end in a 10-10 tie. If I had to pick that game, I’d be inclined to take the points. Except that I would also be inclined to say Notre Dame is good enough to cover, and I have no idea what Michigan State is. So I’m going to just sit back and enjoy what ought to be a Desperation Bowl.

But I will weigh in on some other Big Ten games as conference play begins in earnest. And Iowa City and West Lafayette.

THE GAMES

Penn State minus-12-1/2 at Iowa

Michigan minus-10 at Purdue

Rutgers plus-13 at Nebraska

Bowling Green plus-10 at Middle Tennessee

THE OVER/UNDERS

UNLV at Ohio State (63-1/2)

Alabama at Vanderbilt (43)[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

THE GAME PICKS

Penn State minus-12-1/2 at Iowa

There's so much to like about Penn State. If Iowa loads up against Saquon Barkley, Trace McSorley should be able to load up against the Hawkeyes’ retooling secondary. But Iowa is off to a promising start, and being drubbed 41-14 in Happy Valley last year ought to be as good a rallying cry as the noise coming from a cranked-up Nile Kinnick Stadium crowd. I like the Nittany Lions, but not by nearly two touchdowns.

The score: Penn State, 27-17

Michigan minus-10 at Purdue

Michigan’s defense will tell the tale here. Purdue, which didn’t rattle against Louisville, is off to a wonderful start under new coach Jeff Brohm. But Michigan has too many athletes. And this is an awfully big stage for the up-and-coming Boilermakers..

The score: Michigan, 31-20

Rutgers plus-13 at Nebraska

Everybody’s howling at the Cornhuskers for being shocked by Northern Illinois last week. The Cornhuskers aren’t great. But they are going to respond.

The score: Nebraska, 28-10

Bowling Green plus-10 at Middle Tennessee

The Bowling Green I saw at Northwestern doesn’t have enough gears. And the Blue Raiders not only are up to this challenge. They’re feeling ornery after being stifled at Minnesota.

The score: Middle Tennessee, 35-17

OVER/UNDER PICKS:

Alabama at Vanderbilt (43): Take the OVER

Yeah, Vanderbilt is surprisingly better. And yeah, Nick Saban’s Tide is on a roll.

UNLV at Ohio State (63-1/2): Take the OVER

UNLV lost 43-40 in an epic shootout to previously hapless Howard. . . Do the math.

LAST WEEK: 5-1 (3-0 ATS, 2-1 O/U).

SEASON: 10-8 (6-3 ATS, 4-5 O/U).[/membership]

Comments