A Jersey Guy's Picks, Week 1

A week full of marquee match ups, with lots of betting opportunities. My games: USC-Alabama, FSU-Ole Miss, Notre Dame-Texas.

All selections are made against the spread, for recreational purposes only, of course.

We also have an added bonus each week. Each week we will offer you our Best Bet of the week, courtesy of the LOCK-Smith, another Jersey guy wise beyond his years and more than familiar with betting lines.

And the choices are:[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

THE GAME: Alabama giving 11.5 vs. USC, Arlington

THE PICK: Alabama, 27-14

THE COMMENT: Bama will win. The game might even be close in the first 30 minutes, but the Tide rolls in the second half. Although this looks like a 10 point game, which will make it a nail biter for betters until the end

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THE GAME: FSU giving 4 vs. Ole Miss, Orlando

THE PICK: FSU 28 - 13

THE COMMENT: Can't get a read on Ole Miss yet. FSU isn't going to lose in September, even with a redshirt freshman QB.

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THE GAME: Notre Dame giving 3. 5 at TEXAS

THE PICK: Notre Dame 21 - 17

THE COMMENT: Texas is better than last season, but it won't matter. Notre Dame is better offensively and good enough to win defensively. Tempted to take the points with Texas, but....

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LOCK-smith's Pick

WASHINGTON over Rutgers, giving 26

How cute is it that new Rutgers coach Chris Ash wants to model his program after Ohio State? It's kind of like PeeWee Hermann saying he wants to be just like Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson when he grows up. Ash's immediate problem with his grand plan is that he still has players left over from the previous regime (at least those not performing court-ordered community service on Saturdays). Year 3 for Chris Petersen is hinting at the breakout season Huskies fans have been waiting for, with a roster brimming with returning talent from a team that closed by winning its final three games last year -- averaging 47 points and 513 yards over that span. Washington also led the Pac-12 in scoring defense. The line is a big one, but the Scarlet Knights -- who ended last year losing five of their final six -- lost three games by more than this spread a year ago.

(Home team in CAPS)[/membership]

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