A Jersey Guy's Picks: Week 10

A bad day or week at Black Rock, which meant a lot of near misses, only one win (we picked against Rutgers, what a shock) and five losses.

Our buddy The Locksmith continued to be a .500 guy, which isn't something to brag about if it keeps happening week after week.

But we are still solidly above. 500 for the season and we move into the crunch part of the season in November.

So let's see what we have.

The Games

A Jersey Guy

Arizona getting 7.5 vs. USC

Clemson giving 7 vs. N.C. STATE

Auburn giving 15.5 vs. TEXAS A&M

Over/Under

UTAH vs. UCLA O/U 59

UCF vs. SMU O/U 75.5

Penn State vs. MICHIGAN STATE 0/U 47.

The Locksmith

Penn State giving 9 vs. MICHIGAN STATE

North Carolina State vs. CLEMSON O/U 51[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

The Picks

A JerseyGuy

Arizona getting 7.5 vs. USC--Arizona looks like USC did at the end of last season, a team that has found its identity. Can't figure out the Trojans, but we're sticking with Arizona getting points, even on the road.

Arizona 41, USC 35

Clemson giving 7 vs. NC STATE--Clemson looks ready for another championship run, NC State looks like a team that needs a week off. It's not coming on Saturday.

Clemson 38, NC State 21

TEXAS A&M getting 15.5 vs. Auburn--Is Texas A&M in its typical end of season slide? Is Aggie coach Kevin Sumlin entering lame duck status? Maybe. But Auburn isn't Alabama and playing at home will be a boost for the Aggies.

Auburn 28, Texas A&M 24

O/U

UCLA vs. UTAH O/U 59 Under

UCF at SMU O/U: 75.5 Under

Penn State vs. MICHIGAN STATE O/U 47.5 Over

Last week: 1-5

Season: 29-23-2

HOME TEAMS IN CAPS

THE LOCKSMITH

MICHIGAN STATE over Penn State, taking 9
A strong feeling that Mark D'Antonio will have the Spartans ready to play and able to rebound from last week's stinging 39-31 OT loss to Northwestern, a game that saw Michigan State QB Brian Lewerke throw for a school record 445 yards. With Lewerke comfortable and L.J. Scott able to complement that with some tough, grinding running, Spartans hope to keep the ball away from QB Trace McSorley and Saquon Barkley. MSU held Barkley in check last year, but McSorley torched the Spartans with four TD passes. Questions remain about this Penn State team. They have one quality win (Michigan), haven't been all that great on the road and their defense was shredded for 529 yards last week by Ohio State. That loss will hurt for a while.

Season to date: 3-5-1

Clemson at N.C. STATE
Wolfpack just missed pulling off an upset at Clemson a year ago when a late 33-yard field goal went awry, but frontrunner status in the ACC's Atlantic Division is on the line here. N.C. State comes off a tough loss at Notre Dame, the first time all year QB Ryan Finley & Co. failed to score 27 points in a game. With the expected return of star running back/returner Nyheim Hines from an ankle injury, Wolfpack should be able to generate enough offense at home to throw a scare into the Tigers. Clemson and Kelly Bryant, rounding back into shape again after his injury, will score as well. Don't see this as a defensive struggle at all. 34-24 sounds about right.

OVER/UNDER 51
OVER

Season to date: 6-3

Home team in CAPS[/membership]

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