A Jersey Guy's Picks: Week 12

He is called the Locksmith because when he makes picks on college football games, he gives you winners who are mortal locks. At least, that is what he tells us.

But you know what?

Our guy has been right this season, week after week, which, in 11 weeks, has given him a 7-3-1 record against the spread, which is money in the bank if you followed him.

""You look out for games that jump out at you,'' said the Locksmith after picking Georgia over Kentucky last week. "Or at least one game.''

Well, this week, the Locksmith has focused on Oklahoma vs. West Virginia.

As for the Jersey Guy, upset Saturday didn't treat us kindly. I was 1-2, but overall for the season, we are a solid 20-16-1, which is also money in the bank.

So we pick up the baton with three more games this week: UCLA vs. USC, Ohio State vs. Michigan State and LSU vs. Florida.[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

A Jersey Guy

The Game: UCLA getting 13 vs. USC

The Pick: USC 28, UCLA 17

The Comment: USC is playing as well as anyone and has won 6 straight. UCLA is going in the other direction, but in their 7 losses, the Bruins have played everyone tough. It is at home and it is a rivalry game.

The Game: MICHIGAN STATE getting 22 vs. Ohio State

The Pick: Ohio State 35, Michigan State 20

The Comment: Ohio State is looking forward to next week's game against Michigan. And Michigan State GETTING 21 at HOME? We will take a chance that the Spartans will show up.

The Game: Florida getting 14 at LSU

The Pick: LSU 17, Florida 7

The Comment: Florida is playing for the SEC East title in what is a Hurricane make-up game switched to Baton Rouge. If the Gators' defense shows up, they have a chance.

The Locksmith

Oklahoma over WEST VIRGINIA, giving 3

This really comes down to two things. One is strength of schedule. The Sooners have already navigated a schedule that is light years better than the one West Virginia has faced in getting to as soft an 8-1 as there is. The other is Skyler Howard. It's a big game. Do you really trust West Virginia's mistake-prone quarterback -- he threw three interceptions against Texas and nearly cost the Mountaineers the game as a result -- in a spot like this? We don't. This is high stakes football now and Oklahoma's big three on offense (QB Baker Mayfield, RB Joe Mixon and WR Dede Westbrook) have been there and done that. Worried about the Sooners' defense, which was lit up for 854 yards (720 of it passing) by Texas Tech? Don't be. In the past three games, all wins, the Sooners are allowing an average of just 321.4 yards.

Home team in CAPS

Record to date vs. spread: 7-3-1[/membership]

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