A Jersey Guy's Picks: Week 12

We are in the scramble mode to stay above .500 each week, which is the way it goes in the wild wacky world of college football gambling. The good news is that we are staying ahead of our TMG regular competition, but that pesky kid that Rankman has hired is a growing concern.

But we digress, we were 3-3-1 and were proud of our bonus pick of taking Miami in an easy win over Notre Dame, which has muffled our ND fan (what a shock).

Our buddy The Locksmith needs to make a strong surge. He was 0-2 last week and grumbling about it the entire time.

The Games

A Jersey Guy

UAB getting 10 vs. FLORIDA

FIU getting 14.5 vs. FAU

UCLA getting 16.5 vs. USC

OVER/UNDER

Kentucky vs. GEORIA 0/U 50.5

Duke vs. GEORGIA TECH O/U 47.5

Texas vs. WEST VIRGINIA O/U 53.5

The Locksmith

Michigan getting 7.5 vs. WISCONSIN

Texas vs. WEST VIRGINIA O/U 53.5[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

The Picks

A Jersey Guy

UAB getting 10 vs. FLORIDA--Normally this would be a walk over game for Florida. But the Gators are in turmoil and I think after the firing of Jim McElwain. I think they have packed it in for the season and UAB, which dropped football a few years ago and is now back, is ready to make a statement. Predicting a win is still a stretch, but it could be very close.

Florida 21, UAB 17

FIU getting 14.5 vs FAU--Interesting game between Butch Davis new team (FIU) and Lane Kiffin's new team (FAU). Both are headed to bowl games, both are success stories. Kiffin is further ahead, but it should be closer than two TDs.

FAU 31, FIU 21

UCLA getting 16.5 vs. USC--This has been a one-sided series on both sides in past years, and USC is clearly on the rise right now, while UCLA looks like it is ready to end its season. Still, the Josh Rosen vs. Sam Darnold battle should make this game closer than many people think. USC wins the shootout, but it will be a shoot out.

USC 42, UCLA 29

Kentucky vs. GEORGIA O/U 50.5 Over

Duke vs. GEORGIA TECH O/U 47.5 Over

Texas vs. WEST VIRGINIA O/U 53.5 Over

Record last week: 3-3-1

Season: 34-29-4

The Locksmith

Michigan over WISCONSIN, taking 7 1/2

The biggest test yet for unbeaten Wisconsin, which tried to silence skeptics with last week's easy victory over Iowa, a game in which the Badgers' defense -- ranked No. 1 nationally overall -- limited the Hawkeyes to 66 yards. But Michigan happens to have the nation's No. 2 overall defense, has faced tougher competition and seems to have its offense back on track since Brandon Peters took over as the starting QB five games ago. And if anyone can find a way to slow Wisconsin freshman sensation running back Johnathan Taylor, it's Wolverines DC Don Brown, one of the best in the business. Let's see how the Badgers' defense holds up against a real running attack -- led by Karan Higdon -- and let's see Wisconsin QB Alex Hornibrook come up big in a big spot. He threw two pick sixes against Iowa last week and has 12 INTs, despite the presence of a strong running game to keep pressure off of him.

Season to date: 4-6-1

Texas-WEST VIRGINIA

Over/Under 53 1/2

OVER

Mountaineers are usually even more dangerous at home, and this time QB Will Grier (34 TD passes, 3,440 yards passing already) faces a defense that has struggled throughout the year to slow opponents. A week ago, the Longhorns allowed 27 points to lowly Kansas, a sign they still haven't figured things out on the defensive side. Offensively, they're a good passing team and a poor running one, but West Virginia's offense is ranked No. 102 overall, which should make things a little easier for Texas' offense. Mountaineers will put up at least 38 points. Figure Texas to be able to score plenty too.

Season to date: 7-4

Home team in CAPS[/membership]

Comments