A Jersey Guy got off to a decent start last week, with two winners in Alabama and Florida State. It should have been 3-0 but Notre Dame had to go to double overtime to prove it couldn't play defense. So we move on with three games this week: Duke vs. Wake Forest, Louisville vs. Syracuse and Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech.
In addition, LOCK-Smith, fresh off of his giving you Washington over Rutgers, gives you his selection in the renewal of the Pitt vs. Penn State rivalry.
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THE GAME: DUKE giving four over Wake Forest
THE PICK: Duke 28-10
THE COMMENT: Duke is decent, Wake is mediocre and the Devils are only a four point favorite at home? What's with that? I will bite. And yes, Duke will have to adjust to life without QB Thomas Sirk, but they are still better than the Deacons by more than a TD. Jersey Guy likes the Devils.
THE GAME: Louisville giving 14.5 over SYRACUSE
THE PICK: Louisville 38, Syracuse 21
THE COMMENT: Louisville needs to pile up style points here and climb in the rankings. The Cardinals under Bobby Petrino may be better than people think. Syracuse is playing at home, which will help--but not enough.
THE GAME: Tennessee giving 11.5 over Virginia Tech*
THE PICK: Tennessee 31, Virginia Tech 17
THE COMMENT: Everyone jumped off the Vols bandwagon last week after it took an all out effort to beat Appalachian State in Knoxville. This game is being played at the Bristol Motor Speedway with 150,000 Volunteer and Hokie fans. Jersey Guy thinks Rocky Top will play the loudest.
Home teams in CAPS
Last week: 2-1
Season To Date: 2-1
THE GAME: Pittsburgh giving 6 over Penn State
THE PICK: Pittsburgh
THE COMMENT: Trusting either one of these first-year quarterbacks (Nate Peterman for Pitt, Trace McSorley for Penn State) in a game like this requires a leap of faith so you turn to other key factors. Defense and coaching. Panthers rate the edge in both, limiting Villanova last week to 172 yards on 65 plays. Nittany Lions are deep in the back seven but have some issues up front. The coaching? Seriously? Pat Narduzzi has already shown he is ready for bigger and better things. James Franklin's next job could be cleaning Joe Paterno's statue.
With Pitt RB James Connor having a game behind him in his comeback and the rivalry revived at Heinz Field, Pitt should control the day.
Last week: 1-0
Season To Date: 1-0[/membership]