A Jersey Guy's Picks: Week 5

Another 4-2 week, so we're on a roll and making a steady climb over .500. Good news for The Locksmith as well, since he hit with both of his picks. Let's carry on as our buddy Mr. College Football might say.

A Jersey Guy

The Games

EAST CAROLINA getting 23 vs. South Florida

UMASS getting 8.5 vs. Ohio

Cal getting 13.5 vs. OREGON

Clemson vs. VIRGINIA TECH O/U: 51.5

SAN DIEGO STATE vs. Northern Illinois O/U: 44.5

Ohio State vs. RUTGERS O/U: 51

The Locksmith

(Home team in Caps)

Iowa getting 3.5 vs.. MICHIGAN STATE

O/U

Ole Miss vs. ALABAMA O/U: 59[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

The Picks

A Jersey Guy

South Florida giving 23 over EAST CAROLINA--USF is ready to make a run against inferior competition so it can climb in the rankings. East Carolina isn't good enough to stop them.

USF 42, East Carolina 14

UMASS getting 8.5 over Ohio--Was last week's near miss against Tennessee a sign for the Minutemen, who desperately need a win before a two week break? We say it happens here.

UMass 23, Ohio 19

Cal getting 13.5 vs. OREGON--California has been a pleasant surprise for Bear teams, winning three of their first four. The winning stops against Oregon, but it will be tougher than the Ducks want.

Oregon 41, Cal 30

Over/Under

Clemson at Virginia O/U: 51.5 Under

Northern Illinois at San Diego State O/U: 44.5 Over

Ohio State at Rutgers O/U: 51 Over

Last week: 4-2

Season: 14-10

The Locksmith

Iowa over MICHIGAN STATE, taking 3 1/2

Maybe we're missing something here, but does Michigan State look significantly better than last year's 4-8 version? That was a tough case to make last week after the Spartans lost 38-18 at home to Notre Dame and never led. QB Brian Lewerke looks like a good one, but his surrounding offensive talent is suspect. All MSU has done so far is beat Bowling Green and Western Michigan. Iowa, because of its conservative style, has the ability to keep games close -- with last week's final play loss to Penn State a perfect illustration of that. QB Nathan Stanley won't win a lot of games, but with 12 TD passes to just one interception this season, he won't be the culprit for many losses either. The key is how quickly the Hawkeyes can rebound from last week's heartbreaking loss (though it can be argued that the Spartans' lopsided loss last week will be tougher to recover from).

Season to date: 2-1-1

Ole Miss at ALABAMA

OVER/UNDER 59

UNDER

Here's the deal: Ole Miss has Alabama's attention after beating the Tide in 2014 and 2015 and then giving Nick Saban's gang all it could handle in a 48-43 loss last year. But when you have Alabama's attention, as previously unbeaten Vandy did last week, here's what happens: The Tide rolls 59-0. Not sure Rebels QB Shea Patterson, with some gaudy stats to this point, will have the ability to function against a fired-up Tide defense that is now healthy again at linebacker. All Ole Miss could manage against Cal last week was 16 points. Tide should dominate, with Ole Miss struggling to get any offensive production or points.

Season to date: 2-2[/membership]

Comments