Jersey Guy and The Locksmith Pick 6: Week 6

We are hitting the halfway mark of the season and continue to nudge our way above the .500 mark (always the goal for any prognosticator). We were 4-2 last week. Our buddy after his extreme start (4-0, 0-2) skated his way to a 1-1 .500 mark for the second consecutive week.

So let's get into it.

The Games

A Jersey Guy

Maryland at Michigan (17.5)

Notre Dame (-6.5) at Virginia Tech

Illinois (-5.5) at Rutgers

San Diego State at Boise State O/U 51

Northwestern at Michigan State O/U 43.5

FSU at Miami (-17.5)

The Locksmith

Syracuse (-6) at Pittsburgh

LSU (-3) at Florida[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

The Picks

A Jersey Guy

Maryland at Michigan (-17.5)

We are always hesitant to pick a road underdog we don't think can win the game. But Maryland, which has had lots of internal stress this season, is a solid 3-1, including a win against Texas. And we have no idea if Michigan is ready to act like, well, Michigan. So we will compromise. Taking Michigan to win, but not to cover.

The Score 

Michigan 31, Maryland 17

Notre Dame (6.5) at Virginia Tech

After the Irish rolled over Stanford, the bandwagon in South Bend started to grow. Not buying it yet, although a 12-0 ND is a mortal lock for the Final Four. We still have faith in Virginia Tech, especially playing at home on a Saturday night and still believe in Bud Foster's defense (old guys have to stick together these days). So let's go for it. V Tech covers and wins outright.

Virginia Tech 23, Notre Dame 20

Illinois(-5.5) at Rutgers

Ancient Chinese betting proverb, Never bet a game with two bad teams. But Jersey guy's are stubborn. And Rutgers is a Jersey team which produced Tony Soprano. Both teams think this could be their only chance to win a game for the remainder of the season. For Rutgers, which finishes its season against Wisconsin, Michigan, Penn State and Michigan State, that could be true, unless you think the Scarlet Knights can beat Northwestern next week. So taking the points and the home team straight up. And we have a friendly wager with our TMG buddy The Gould Standard. Deep dish vs. thin crust pizza is at stake, so the Scarlet Knights better show up.

Rutgers 34, Illinois 27

San Diego State at Boise State O/U 51

Unlike Rutgers vs. Illinois, this is a Mountain West team between two pretty good teams. We have no idea who is going to win, but we think it will be a last-team-with-the ball type of game win. So we will stick with the home team in a squeaker,

Boise State 42, San Diego State 35

Northwestern at Michigan State O/U 44.5

Michigan State has underachieved (in our humble opinion) all season. Northwestern has either underperformed or is not that good. We still like Sparty which must travel to Penn State next week to prevail in a semi-shoot out. Take the over.

Michigan State 27, Northwestern 20

Florida State at Miami (17.5)--Two things surprise us about that game. No. 1--Does anyone know they are playing this game? This used to be a circle the calendar game every year. Now its crickets in the pregame chatter outside Tallahassee and Miami. No. 2--FSU as a 3-touchdown underdog. FSU isn't that bad, Miami is not that good and it's still a rivalry game. FSU covers. And for added support of our pick, consider this: the last five games between the two teams has been decided by a total of 17 points.

Miami 24, FSU 19

Record last week: 4-2

Season to Date:17-12-1

The Locksmith

Syracuse over PITTSBURGH, giving 6

It's never easy re-energizing after an emotionally-wrenching game (and narrow loss) like Syracuse had last week at Clemson but this looks to be a solid, fringe Top 25 Orange team. If QB Eric Dungey continues his solid play and the running game continues to produce (Dino Babers' squad is 23rd nationally in rushing) there's no reason Syracuse can't get by the wobbly Panthers with relative ease. Pitt has QB problems and has already lost to a bad North Carolina team. Homefield means nothing here since no one is showing up to watch another losing season of Pitt football.

LSU over FLORIDA, giving 3

Whatever it is Florida is trying to sell we're not buying yet. The Gators have already lost at home to Kentucky, then needed a trick play for their only TD in beating Mississippi State last week. Feleipe Franks certainly still hasn't shown he's the answer at QB -- and this is a very limited offense. That's a problem against a talented LSU team that saw a breakout performance last week by QB Joe Burrows. LSU can pound the ball with its running game. The Gators are 93rd nationally against the run. That makes for a bad matchup.



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