Jersey Guy Predictions: Week 3

Another 2-1 week, which we will take, although we no longer will trust Duke. Tennessee and Louisville both came through with easy wins which means we are a solid 4-2 after two weeks.

The LOCK-Smith had a frustrating week since Pittsburgh kept pulling away (and covering) vs. Penn State and kept allowing the Nittany Lions back into the game, until it got him at the end.

So here are the games on this week's list: Florida State vs Louisville, New Mexico State vs. Kentucky and Memphis vs. Kansas.

The LOCK-Smith is focusing on another Pennsylvania battle between Temple and Penn State[membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

Here are our picks

The Game: Florida State giving 2 to LOUISVILLE

The Pick: Florida State 34-30

The Comment: The only worry is that it's a noon start, which means FSU might not show up until halftime. Once they do, they will win by more than a field goal.

The Game: KENTUCKY giving 19.5 to New Mexico State

The Pick: Kentucky 35, New Mexico State 21

The Comment: Kentucky stinks. New Mexico State is coming off an emotional win over New Mexico and our buddy Frank Spaziani is the New Mexico State DC. Kentucky will win, but New Mexico State can score points and Spaz's defense will put up a fight.

The Game: MEMPHIS giving 20 to Kansas

The Pick: Memphis 42, Kansas 3

The Comment: Kansas has its win for the season (over Rhode Island). And Memphis wants to show the Big 12 it made a mistake by eliminating them early from consideration.

Last week: 2-1

Season to Date: 4-2

The LOCK--Smith

PENN STATE over Temple, giving 7

It's going to be a weird vibe in Happy Valley as the school celebrates (acknowledges?) the 50th anniversary of Joe Paterno's first game as head coach. And after a tough loss to Pitt, there's some concern over the Nittany Lions' energy for this one. But Temple did upset Penn State last year and Temple did lose to Army (Army!) in its opener this year, allowing 329 rushing yards, and Penn State has a rising star in soph RB Saquon Barkley (five TDs vs. the Panthers last week). Loved the spunk and spark Penn State showed after rallying from a 28-7 deficit at Pitt to have a chance to win late in a 42-39 defeat. Also loved the poise QB Trace McSorley showed, as well as the numbers he put up (24-of-35 for 332 yards). This is an average Penn State team, but the Owls look to have plateaued with their feel-good football reversal.

Home team in CAPS

Record to date vs. spread: 1-1-[/membership]