Mr. College Football's Picks: Week 3

After a 4-2 start on Week 1, your friend Mr. College Football took it on the chin in Week 2. I was 2-1 on the picks against the spread and would have been 3-0 if Auburn’s offense (which had 117 yards against Clemson) had not gone into the witness protection program.

I thought taking the Over (73 ½) on the South Carolina-Missouri game was the Double Platinum Lock of the Century. They scored 44 (31-13) because the Missouri offense made the South Carolina defense look like the ’85 Bears.

Anyway, that puts us at .500 (6-6) after two weeks.

We’re going to change it up a little moving forward. I’m going to start picking six games each week against the spread and see if we like it.

So let’s call it “Mr. College Football’s Pick Six” for the third weekend of the 2017 season: [membership level="0"] The rest of this article is available to subscribers only - to become a subscriber click here.[/membership] [membership]

KENTUCKY (Plus 5) at SOUTH CAROLINA: It will be South Carolina’s first true home game of the season. After an impressive performance against a bad Missouri team last week, Gamecock fans are thinking they may be a dark horse in the less-than-impressive SEC East. South Carolina’s seniors have never beaten Kentucky. That changes Saturday and the Gamecocks will cover the 5.

The winner: South Carolina

The score: South Carolina 27, Kentucky 17.

LSU at MISSISSIPPI STATE (Plus 5): The last three games in this series have been decided by a total of 10 points. It’s the first true road game for LSU after tune ups against BYU and Mighty Chattanooga. All week LSU has had the noise of Mississippi State’s cowbells pumped into practice via six huge speakers on the flatbed of a truck. This will be a close game until the second half when LSU’s talent takes over. LSU wins on the road and covers.

The winner: LSU

The score: LSU 28, Mississippi State 17.

TENNESSEE (Plus 5) at FLORIDA: The pressure is on both coaches, but especially on Florida’s Jim McElwain, whose offense was a disaster (192 total yards) against Michigan two weeks ago. Florida has not lost its home opener since 1989 and has not been 0-2 since 1971. Everybody’s in a somber mood because of Hurricane Irma. It will be a strange vibe in The Swamp and if the Gators lose, it will start getting ugly for McElwain. Gators win but they don’t cover the five.

The winner: Tennessee

The score: Florida 24, Tennessee 20.

CLEMSON at LOUISVILLE (Plus 5): It ain’t often that the team with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner is a Home Dog, but Clemson ain’t no ordinary defense. The Tigers held Auburn to a ridiculous 117 total yards (15 in the second) last week. But we should also note that Lamar Jackson is no ordinary quarterback. A year ago at Clemson this was a 42-36 shootout where Jackson caught fire in the second half but came up just a little short. Clemson wins the game but doesn’t cover the five.

The winner: Louisville

The score: Clemson 38, Louisville 35.

KANSAS STATE at VANDERBILT (Plus 3 ½): This game fascinates me. Vanderbilt went to a bowl last season and returns 18 starters. Commodores’ quarterback Kyle Shurmur has thrown seven touchdown passes with no interception in his first two games. Vanderbilt also has one of the better running backs in the SEC in Ralph Webb. Expect to see a lot of purple at Vanderbilt Stadium because the Kansas State folks do like to travel. I like Bill Snyder in these types of games. Kansas State wins and covers the 3 ½.

The winner: Kansas State

The score: Kansas State 21, Vanderbilt 14.

BAYLOR (plus 14) at DUKE: The most surprising score last Saturday was the ease with which Oklahoma dispatched Ohio State in Columbus. The second most surprising score was Duke taking Northwestern to the woodshed 41-17. David Cutcliffe, who tutored both Peyton and Eli Manning, is one of the most underrated college football coaches in the country and has built Duke into a tough out for everybody they play. Baylor is lost and trying to find its way, which it will eventually do under Matt Rhule. Duke is going to win, but 14 seems like a high number.

The winner: Baylor

The score: Duke 35, Baylor 24.

[/membership]

Comments